 Stayers Challenge Final Juvenile Fillies  3200m Dirt 30th March 2011Last Season's Final
This Season's Contenders
 Divine Diva has so many good horses it is often a shame to see championship runners carrying so many weight penalties. Divine Sensation is no exception. It is likely that the horse will get the 3200m and with so many fillies that struggle at this trip it is still not beyond her running well. 126lbs will be difficult to win off in any championship final and the same will apply here.
 Miss Fergie has ran a few tidy races at 3200m on a muddy track. She is another tarred by conceding weight. She is a very similar runner to Divine Sensation and the comments made would apply to her also. Could run well but would have run better with a lighter weight.
Maktree has run a couple on a muddy surface and it doesn't appear that she handles the surface too well. She has participated in two challenge finals this term and has run down the field. An improvement in this would have been on the cards if we were on a turf track and this race may see a struggle to cope with the sticky conditions.
 Queen Of Chelt drew my attention when she was put to auction. The final hammer price was a little too much for me on that day and my interest in here was obviously given a boost when she went to the champions yard, so I must have been doing something right. I like her chance in this but she may not have enough boot to compete with her stable companion.
Special Reserve has given her owner a run for their money in both challenge finals she has appeared in this term. Her lack of races over 3200m suggests that she doesn't stay the marathon distance and could well be struggling to go with some of these. Preperations for next season may already be in place at the Bottlebrush yard.
 Lozza has racked up three wins this season and will run here with a 4lb penalty, provididng she doesn't win the classic. She is likely to be better suited at the classic final distance of 2400m and this trip could well be too far for her. She looks a tidy enough filly but this race is set up for the out and out stayer and I just don't think Lozza is one of them.
Danish Dictionary is certainly suited by the trip but whether she is suited to the conditions is another story. She only has a maiden race line of form on the surface and failed to win there so with that in mind you would have to think that the going has come wrong for her. A fast track was likely to suit her better and she is another one that you can safely say will not be winning this.
Tint Of Class looks solid enough and will relish the trip but like Danish Dictionary before her, would probably have been at her best on a faster surface. She did run well enough though, in an earlier qualifier on a yielding surface, to indicate she may not be a hopeless chance when there is a little give beneath. She will probably run well enough without scoring.
Zulu Raid is just not going to stay the trip and is far better in when they tackle a 2850m. She may be able to handle the going but seems a little stronger on a more sound surface, so generally things have not quite worked out this season for this filly. Look to see more from her next season under level conditions.
She put in a right good effort in the Ladbrokes Monthly Final when fourth behind The Great Pyramid. She is one of a few that will easily take this trip in her stride, making her a strongish fancy for this race. The dounbt that she can win this sets in when we consider the going. Muddy may not exactly be what she would have liked to produce her best and for that reason she is likely to miss out on championship glory. She is still a threat in the race and should go very well.
The Ladbrokes Monthly champ is carrying far too much weight in this to have any sort of chance. She may not have been considered by her yard as able to get this trip which has influenced their decision to run her regularly. She is an obvious classy filly evident by her runs against the older horses and she is definately one to watch next season. Easily opposed in this race.
City Of Dreams got into this race off the back of just two runs. She is an obvious choice to hold solid claims on a muddy track. The only negative you can find with this horse is the lack of true form over the trip. I have a sneaky feeling she can run well but I am not too sure that she has the extra lung capacity to last home. Sitting on the fence with this one, it could go either way.
Bag it once, bag it twice but bag it as much as the champion has with this one and you know there is a big run in this baby. She could be entering this race already a challenge champ, however, the fast going in the classic is stark contrast to this going but she will definately have her switch turned for her full attention on this race. Of course she can win but as we have seen so many times in the past with one of the champs more fancied runners, they often don't get the run of the race. I think she will run extremely well.
The Greatest Day's chances in this race relied too much on a fast going. The muddy track will ultimately prove her downfall. Should the going had come in her favour then I would be confidently tipping this one up as potential champion. The trip holds no fear but for the second challenge final running she has not be shone upon by the random Gods. Look to next season for a lot more in the way of success. |
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